Category Archives: Homepage Posts

The Market Outlook for the Week Ahead, or It’s All About Interest Rates

Up until October 28, the market has been discounting another cut in interest rates by 25 basis points at the next Fed meeting on December 10. Since October 28, the market has been backing out that expectation, giving us a 4.4% correction in the S&P 500 (SPY). The sell-off had been led by the Magnificent […]

November 12 Biweekly Strategy Webinar Q&A

Below, please find subscribers’ Q&A for the November 12 Mad Hedge Fund Trader Global Strategy Webinar, broadcast from Incline Village, NV. Q: Is there really rising industrial demand for silver (SLV)? A: Tech companies are definitely signing deals to get more power from zero-carbon sources. We are getting brownouts in certain parts of the country […]

Recollections Of A Marine

This being Veterans Day and the 250th Marine Corps birthday, I thought I’d bring back some old memories. As the son of a Marine who served on Guadalcanal in 1942, I had an unusual childhood. The memories all came flooding back to me as the HBO program, The Pacific. Every scene in the ten-hour series […]

The Market Outlook for the Week Ahead, or Reality Check

I’ll never forget the most interesting start to a college course I ever attended. I enrolled late for my freshman year at the University of Southern California because a full all-expense paid scholarship came in only at the last minute. I thought the best value for money major I could take was in the sciences […]

Why Your Other Investment Newsletter is Sooo Dangerous

Not a day goes by without me hearing from a reader about the competition. They previously subscribed to a newsletter that promised a top-drawer education, an insider’s insights, and spectacular returns, sometimes 100% or more a month. “Doubled in a day” is a frequently heard term. The entry-level costs are only a few bucks, but […]

The Margin Call from Hell

It was just another quiet Friday afternoon. I was letting my call spreads in Netflix (NFLX) run off in the weekly expiration. They were $100 deep in-the-money and I had $1 million in excess margin, so I figured I could just go take a nap. Then, at exactly 1:30 PM EST, a message highlighted in […]

October 29 Biweekly Strategy Webinar Q&A

Below, please find subscribers’ Q&A for the October 29 Mad Hedge Fund Trader Global Strategy Webinar, broadcast from Incline Village, NV. Q: What are the chances of Elon Musk leaving Tesla (TSLA) if he doesn’t get his $1 trillion pay package? A: I think he’d settle for $500 billion, but knowing Elon Musk as I […]

Why Technical Analysis is a Disaster

I recently heard an amazing piece of information from a subscriber. Fidelity recently conducted a study to identify their best-performing clients. They neatly fell into two groups: people who forgot they had an account at Fidelity, and dead people. It all underlines the futility of trading the markets without true professional guidance, such as you […]

The IRS Letter You Should Dread

I knew the letter from the IRS sitting in my mailbox was bad news just from the color of the paper. It was not light green, the color of a refund check from the United States Treasury.  Instead, it was white, warning that it contained some sort of demand, audit notice, or threatened legal action. […]

Please Use My Free Database Search

The original purpose of this letter was to build a database of ideas to draw on in the management of my hedge fund. When a certain trade comes into play, I merely type in the symbol, name, currency, or commodity into the search box, and the entire fundamental argument in favor of that position pops […]