Why The “Underground” Economy is Growing So Fast

There is no doubt that the “underground” economy is growing. No, I’m not talking about violent crime, drug dealing, or prostitution. Those are all largely driven by demographics, which right now are at a low ebb. I’m referring to the portion of the economy that the government can’t see and therefore is not counted in […]

When Silence Is Golden

I was halfway through my morning coffee when my trader buddy in New York called me at some ungodly pre-market hour. He’s one of those Wall Street guys who never sleeps and hasn’t taken a real vacation since the Reagan administration. “So what’s your take on Alnylam?” he barked, not bothering with pleasantries. “Stock’s been […]

BLOOD-OATH NDAS AND BOURBON-FUELED PREDICTIONS

(NVDA), (AAPL), (NFLX), (AMD), (IBM), (AMZN), (GOOGL), (META) I was sipping an overpriced airport cappuccino when Jensen Huang strutted onto the GTC 2025 stage. My seatmate didn’t recognize him, but I’d been at a private dinner with one of Nvidia’s VPs the night before. After 40 years covering tech from Tokyo to Wall Street, you […]

March 24, 2025

(MARKETS ARE DEFINED BY UNCERTAINTY) March 24, 2025   Hello everyone   WEEK AHEAD CALENDAR Monday, March 24 8:30 a.m. Chicago Fed National Activity Index (February) 9:45 a.m. PMI Composite preliminary (March) 9:45 a.m. S&P PMI Manufacturing preliminary (March) 9:45 a.m. S&P PMI Services preliminary (March)   Tuesday, March 25 9:00 a.m. FHFA Home Price […]