I usually know what the stock market is going to do 99% of the time. Now is the 1% when I don’t have a clue. Stocks have been on an unprecedented five-month tear, and everything is expensive. The risk/reward of entering new positions here is terrible. Market concentration is incredible, with Microsoft (MSFT) and Nvidia […]
Tag Archives: (MSFT)
Global Market Comments August 11, 2025 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (MARKET OUTLOOK FOR THE WEEK AHEAD, or HOW TOOK COOK PLUCKED APPLE OUT OF THE FIRE BACK INTO THE FRYING PAN), (SPY), (NVDA), (AAPL), (PANW), (CYBR), (META), (MSFT), (TSLA), (FCX),(NFLX), (GLD), (DGE), (PERP)
Diary, Homepage Posts, Newsletter
The Market Outlook for the Week Ahead, or How Tim Cook Plucked Apple Out of the Fire Back into the Frying Pan!
11
Aug
Aug
Economic growth has dropped by 50%-100% in a year, and if you strip out AI investment, the economy actually shrank by 2%. Inflation is rising, with much worse to come, and stocks are at all-time highs both in terms of price and multiples. Markets are now sitting on a knife-edge, and the slightest unforeseen development […]
Mad Hedge Technology Letter August 6, 2025 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (WHAT TO DO ABOUT OVER-INTEREST IN TECH) ($COMPQ), (NVDA), (MSFT), (AAPL), (AMZN), (GOOGL)
Want diversification? I would say screw it. Tech stocks ($COMPQ) have dominated, and the concentration is getting so one-sided that many cannot even believe it. The rest of the U.S. economy is shrinking as tech stocks make higher highs. All the fresh capital is pouring into the A.I. narrative in a sink-or-swim moment for American […]
Mad Hedge Technology Letter August 1, 2025 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (WHY EMPLOYMENT NUMBERS WON’T KILL THE TECH SECTOR) ($COMPQ), (NVDA), (MSFT)
Nonfarm payroll totaled a seasonally adjusted 73,000 for the month, below even the meager Dow Jones estimate for a gain of 100,000. Employment numbers are weakening fast, but this doesn’t really mean much for tech stocks. Why? Tech companies ($COMPQ) have been cutting American staff left and right and shipping the bulk of these jobs […]
Global Market Comments July 21, 2025 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (MARKET OUTLOOK FOR THE WEEK AHEAD, or THE CASE OF THE MISSING TARIFFS) ($VIX), (MSFT), (GOOGL), (META), (SPY), (QQQ), (CSCO), (TSLA), (AMGN), (MSTR), (AAPL)
Diary, Homepage Posts, Newsletter
The Market Outlook for the Week Ahead, or The Case of the Missing Tariffs
21
Jul
Jul
NOTE: This is a Jeffrey Epstein-free letter. The Volatility Index ($VIX) closed on Friday at a lowly $16.45. At that price, the index is predicting that the S&P 500 will move up or down less than 1.05% over the next 30 days. Somehow, I don’t think that is going to happen, especially going into September, […]
Global Market Comments July 16, 2025 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (WHY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS NEVER WORKS) (FB), (AAPL), (AMZN), (GOOG), (MSFT), (VIX)