I usually know what the stock market is going to do 99% of the time. Now is the 1% when I don’t have a clue. Stocks have been on an unprecedented five-month tear, and everything is expensive. The risk/reward of entering new positions here is terrible. Market concentration is incredible, with Microsoft (MSFT) and Nvidia […]
Tag Archives: ($VIX)
Global Market Comments July 21, 2025 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (MARKET OUTLOOK FOR THE WEEK AHEAD, or THE CASE OF THE MISSING TARIFFS) ($VIX), (MSFT), (GOOGL), (META), (SPY), (QQQ), (CSCO), (TSLA), (AMGN), (MSTR), (AAPL)
Diary, Homepage Posts, Newsletter
The Market Outlook for the Week Ahead, or The Case of the Missing Tariffs
21
Jul
Jul
NOTE: This is a Jeffrey Epstein-free letter. The Volatility Index ($VIX) closed on Friday at a lowly $16.45. At that price, the index is predicting that the S&P 500 will move up or down less than 1.05% over the next 30 days. Somehow, I don’t think that is going to happen, especially going into September, […]
Global Market Comments July 16, 2025 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (WHY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS NEVER WORKS) (FB), (AAPL), (AMZN), (GOOG), (MSFT), (VIX)
16
Jul
Jul
Let me point out a few harsh lessons learned from this most recent meltdown, and the rip-your-face-off rally that followed. Remember all those market gurus claiming stocks would rise every day for the rest of 2025? They were wrong. This is why almost every Trade Alert I shot out this year has been from the “RISK […]
Global Market Comments April 11, 2025 Fiat Lux SPECIAL VOLATILITY ISSUE Featured Trade: (TESTIMONIAL) (MAKING VOLATILITY YOUR FRIEND), (VIX), (VXX), (XIV), (THE ABC’s OF THE VIX), (VIX), (VXX), (SVXY)
11
Apr
Apr
I am one of those cheapskates who buy Christmas ornaments by the bucket load from Costco in January for ten cents on the dollar because my 11-month theoretical return on capital comes close to 1,000%. I also like buying flood insurance in the middle of the summer drought, when the forecast in California is for […]
Global Market Comments April 8, 2025 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (A REFRESHER COURSE AT SHORT SELLING SCHOOL), (SH), (SDS), (PSQ), (DOG), (RWM), (SPXU), (AAPL), (TSLA), (VIX), (VXX), (IPO), (MTUM), (SPHB), (HDGE)
Global Market Comments March 6, 2025 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (A REFRESHER COURSE AT SHORT SELLING SCHOOL), (SH), (SDS), (PSQ), (DOG), (RWM), (SPXU), (AAPL), (TSLA), (VIX), (VXX), (IPO), (MTUM), (SPHB), (HDGE)
Some asset classes are reflecting the fact that we are already in a full-blown recession, while others are not. In case I am wrong and we DO go into a recession, knowing how to sell short stocks will be a handy skill to have. It will become essential to be knowledgeable about all the different ways […]