Jacque's Post
January 30, 2026
(SUMMARY OF JOHN’S JANUARY 28, 2026, WEBINAR)
January 30, 2026
Hello everyone
TITLE- “TACO IS BACK”
TRADE ALERT PERFORMANCE –
January MTD = +0.72%
Since inception = +814.84%
Trailing One Year Return = +62.83%
Average Annualised Return = +50.66%
PORTFOLIO
No trades
BIG RISKS FOR THE MARKET
All the good news for the market in 2026 may already be in the price.
The recent feeble performance of the S&P 500 is the “Tell” here.
What is known: Tax cuts, coming ultra dovish Fed governor, falling interest rates, massive government spending financed by record borrowing, AI improvements to cost cutting and profitability for big companies.
What isn’t known: the next black swans, the next government interference with the stock market.
Problem: markets move on what is unknown, not what is known.
THE METHOD TO MY MADNESS
With a government shutdown, a Supreme Court decision, and a Fed rate decision imminent, it is not a great time for risk-taking.
Flight to safety inflation protection assets like gold, silver, copper, and platinum are all at extreme all-time highs.
Bonds are dead in the water on a $42 trillion National Debt overhang, and $45 trillion if the tariffs fail.
The long-term bull arguments of super liquidity, AI, and falling interest rates are still the market drivers, but much is already in the price.
Jobs data remains dire.
Huge oil oversupply weighs heavily on prices in 2026.
US dollar approaches new multi-year lows in line with coming rate cuts.
Bitcoin is trying to hold at the cost of production at $85,000. It may bounce hard once gold and silver turn.
THE GLOBAL ECONOMY – BREAKING UP
The Fed meets this week to discuss interest rates – the decision is out at 2:00 PM EST – no action expected.
A government shutdown is on for Friday.
US GDP growth is set to rise by 2.5% in 2025, down from 3.0% in 2024.
Core PCE rises from 2.7% to 2.8%.
Consumer Spending rose 0.50% in October.
S&P US PMI comes in flat.
U.S. Consumer Sentiment collapses.
U.S. retail sales beat in November.
Core Capital Goods rose 0.7% in November.
STOCKS – VOLATILITY
Trade War 2.0 destroys stocks, taking the Dow Average down 1,200 points – the most in four months.
The “Sell American” trade is back on, with European discussing dumping all their US stocks and bonds, some $8 trillion worth.
Banks continue to fall on 10% credit card cap.
Saks Fifth Avenue files for Bankruptcy.
Weak Japanese Yen is pushing the Nikkei upward.
CrowdStrike (CRWD) wins lawsuit over the massive software outage last summer.
Microsoft jumps 7% on Second Generation AI chips.
Snowflake (SNOW), Palo Alto Networks (PANW), and Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) – good buys for the long term.
Energy and healthcare are undervalued.
John notes that people make the most money if they are long-term focused.
S&P500 – SUPPORT ZONES
1st support = $650
2nd support = $630
BONDS – BOND CRASH
Japanese bond markets crash, taking yields up to 4.3%, an all-time high.
A new stimulatory budget and a weak yen are expected to cause inflation.
Japan’s debt/GDP is now over 200% compared to 150% for the US.
It rattles the world because a lot of financing was done in a formerly low-interest rate world. It all shows how record debts are a global problem.
It all underlines the global nature of the excessive debt problem.
Denmark dumps $100 million of US Treasuries – their entire holdings, citing the deteriorating finances of the US government.
FOREIGN CURRENCIES – DOLLAR CRASH
Trump comments on currencies – trash the US dollar.
Returns of “Sell America” trade prompts major crash in US dollar as foreign investments dump US assets.
U.S. dollar faces a prolonged decline, on the back of the coming Fed interest rate cuts.
We may see another 20% move down as more Fed interest rate cuts loom.
Emerging markets (EEM) have been the best currency play of 2025, up 40% at its high.
Buy (FXA, (FXE), (FXB), (FXC), and (FXY)
ENERGY & COMMODITIES – VENEZUELA BOOST
Venezuela will need $190 billion in spending to restore its oil fields, and all of that business will go to American companies.
Most of Venezuela’s oil infrastructure was built by Schlumberger and Halliburton (HAL).
Pushed John’s Schlumberger (SLB) 2026 LEAPS from a total loss to max profits at expiration in weeks.
John sees $2.59 a gallon in Florida.
If the Ukraine war ends, huge Russian inventories will get dumped on the market, crushing pricing.
If any Venezuelan production improves, it will crush prices further.
Venezuela is now producing 800,000 barrels a day.
It could produce 4 million barrels a day.
PRECIOUS METALS – ALL 2026 TARGETS REACHED
Insanity hits the precious metals markets.
All 2026 targets met with gold at $5,300 and Silver at $115.
10% intraday swings have become common.
Metals may take a dip in the run-up to the Chinese New Year on February 17. They have been the biggest buyers.
Political instability in the UF has become a factor driving gold.
AI build out is creating exponential growth in demand for silver.
John has sold all his precious metals positions.
And he points out that when an investment reaches your target, the most dangerous thing you can do is raise your target.
Why has gold gone parabolic? Classic inflation plays/protection against political instability.
REAL ESTATE – RATE PUSH
DH Horton (DHI) Beats. Incentives helped the company to drive a 3% increase in its net sales.
Existing Home Sales jump 5.1% from November, to a seasonally adjusted 4.35 million units.
US Pending Home Sales dive 9.3% in December, according to the National Association of Home Builders.
The Midwest was hardest hit, followed by the Northeast.
The average rate on the popular 30-year fixed-rate mortgage declined to 6.06%, the lowest level in more than three years.
Mortgage refinance demand soars 40%.
REVIEW
Stocks – stand aside
Bonds – stand aside
Commodities – buy dips
Currencies – buy dips
Precious Metals- buy dips
Energy – buy dips
Volatility – sell over $30
Real Estate – buy dips
NEXT STRATEGY WEBINAR
12:00 EST Wednesday, February 11, 2026
MY CORNER
It seems every time Saturday and Sunday (S&S) come around, something eventful happens in the world. So, here are a few suggestions for trades for downside protection.
Buy (SDS) – John pointed out it is at a discount price now.
OR/AND
One or more of the following:
SPX 6880/6900 PUT VERTICAL
Sell a put @ 6880
Buy a put @ 6900
Expiration = July 17, 2026
Max Profit = $1,390
Max Loss = $610
Cost = $6:15
SPX 6700/6750 PUT VERTICAL
Sell a put @ 6700
Buy a put @ 6750
Expiration = October 16, 2026
Max Profit = $3,725
Max Loss = $1,275
Cost = 12.85
SPX 5700/5750 PUT VERTICAL
Sell at put @ 5700
Buy a put @ 5750
Expiry = October 16, 2026
Max Profit = $4,485
Max Loss = $515
Cost = $5.20
SPX 6075/6100 PUT VERTICAL
Buy a put @ 6100
Sell a put @ 6075
Expiry = October 16, 2026
Max Profit = $2,135
Max Loss = $370
Cost = $3.70
These option spreads give you a variety of option strikes and expirations. Only one option spread expires in July this year. The other option spreads expire in October this year.
Just be aware that the prices are changing all the time.
The numbers illustrated in the spreads above are just for one contract. It is up to you if you wish to purchase more.
One or two of these will give you downside protection for the bear move we are expecting this year.
I am not saying that the market will fall this week or next week – we could still see some more upside – but it is wise to be prepared before the black clouds darken the mood in the markets.
UPDATE ON JACQUIE’S POST PRESENT OPTION SPREAD TRADES
(GDX) 83/85 Feb. 20, 2026 – in the money
(TSM) 310/320 Feb. 20, 2026 – in the money
(UEC) 13/14 Feb. 20, 2026 – in the money
(UEC) 14/15 Feb. 20, 2026 – in the money
(VRT) 185/190 Feb. 20, 2026 – in the money
(CAT) 620/630 Feb. 20, 2026 – in the money
(HOOD) 135/145 Feb. 20, 2026 – underwater because crypto is struggling.
(RBLX) 110/115 Feb. 20, 2026 – underwater because the company is making decisions that are not aligned with the community.
For the options spreads that are in the money, I would consider taking profits soon. Leave some pennies on the table for someone else. I like to take my profits early – well before expiration. The team at Tasty Trade also recommends this action. There will always be another trade to take. (With what is going on in the world, it’s better to take the money off the table when you can).
Cheers
Jacquie
